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Responses of Marine Hazards to Climate Change in the Western Pacific (WESTPAC-ROSE)

Project Leader: Prof.Dr. Qiao Fangli, Deputy Dirertor-General, The First Institute of Oceanography of SOA, ChinaObjectives:

  1. To quantify the trends of the typical marine hazards, including Typhoon and storm surge, sea level rise, marine ecosystem especially HAB, in the context of global climate change, and to assess the impacts of the hazards on the marine system and human society in the western Pacific and northeast Indian Ocean areas.
  2. To improve our understanding of the physical processes of marine hazards and their responding mechanisms to global climate change by both dynamic analysis and numerical methods.
  3. With increased understanding of the mechanisms of the marine hazard feedback to global change, to develop the predictive capacity for climate change and the ocean responses, and provide scientific supports to the governments to mitigate the losses caused by marine hazards.
  4. To enhance the international cooperation within the WESTPAC member states.

Activities:

  1. To deploy 3 buoys in the Indian Ocean and South China Sea;
  2. Try to organize one field survey in SCS and/or West Pacific;
  3. To run new generation climate model for 100 years;
  4. To do model experiments and data analysis;
  5. To refine a kind of circulation model such as POM;
  6. To refine a kind of climate model such as CCSM3;
  7. One workshop on MaHaz;
  8. One training course on new generation numerical models.

Expected outputs:

  1. Development of an ocean monitoring system for the Western Pacific region; Prediction report on the trend of Tropical Cyclones;
  2. Published papers and write brief introduction documents to IOC/WESTPAC for member states sharing;
  3. State-of-the-art wave-tide-circulation coupled model suitable for the Western Pacific region; New generation climate model suitable for the Western Pacific region;
  4. Scientific communication among participants.

Partners:

The experts from the following 10 countries are interested in taking part in, and other member nations are still welcomed: China, Australia, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Russia, Thailand and Viet Nam.